Active Monitoring

Iran Nuclear Status

Uranium enrichment tracking · IAEA reporting · Estimated breakout timeline

Uranium-235 Enrichment Level

Natural

LEU / JCPOA

20%

60% ▼ NOW

Weapons Grade

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

60%

Current Enrichment Level

30 percentage points from weapons grade · Est. 1–2 weeks to breakout

30% to weapons grade

Current Enrichment

~60%

U-235 purity

Weapons Grade

90%

threshold

Breakout Time

~1–2 wks

est. to enrich to 90%

Active Centrifuges

~9,000+

IR-1, IR-2M, IR-6

60% Stockpile

~121 kg

as of Nov 2023 IAEA

Monitoring

CURTAILED

IAEA cameras removed

Nuclear Program Timeline

1979

Islamic Revolution — nuclear cooperation with US ended

2002

Natanz centrifuge plant revealed by MEK dissident group

2006

First uranium enrichment at Natanz — 3.5%

2010

Stuxnet worm destroys ~1,000 centrifuges (US/Israel)

2015

JCPOA signed — enrichment capped at 3.67%, monitors granted

2018

US withdraws from JCPOA; Iran begins exceeding limits

2021

Iran begins enriching to 20%, then 60% after Natanz attack

2023

IAEA: Iran has enough 60% material for several bombs if further enriched

2024

IAEA access severely curtailed; additional centrifuge cascades activated

INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT · SOURCES: IAEA, SIPRI, ARMS CONTROL ASSOCIATION · DATA AS OF NOV 2023